Secondary Property June 1995

HP
Hillier Parker

Contributor

Hillier Parker
United Kingdom Real Estate and Construction
Rents
Industrials - only sector to experience growth
The industrial sector has witnessed growth of 0.8% over the six months to May. This was the only sector to experience any rental value growth; the All Property Secondary Rent Index saw a rental value decline of 0.1%. With the exception of Scotland, all industrial regions experienced rental value growth of between 0.8% and 2%. During the previous six months, to November 1994, only the Midlands and Scotland had experienced any rental growth.
The All Offices index fell by 0.1% over the six months to May. This is in contrast to the previous six months which had seen secondary office rents increase by 0.6%. Fringe City and Central London, although having experienced rental growth, did so at a slower rate. Over the year, however, Fringe City and Central London have seen rental growth of 11.4% and 10.5% respectively. Scotland also experienced rental value decline in the office sector.
The retail sector experienced a decline of 0.4% in rental value over the six months to May, following a 0.7% rise in the previous six months. The North experienced the greatest movement in rental value with a 4.1% drop in the last six months and a 4.6% drop over the year. For the second successive six monthly period, Scotland was the region with the highest rental value growth.

Yields

Retail Yields Rise

For the second successive six monthly period, a rise in the All Property Secondary Yield has been experienced - this time by 0.3% points. This increase has been caused predominantly by the retail sector which saw its yield rise by 0.6% points. Both the offices yield and the industrial yield remained flat over the six months to May.

In the office sector, all regions with the exception of the West End and Central London, which saw yield rises of 0.2% points and 0.1% points respectively, remained flat. Over the year, however, all regions experienced rises of between 0.4% points and 0.7% points. An exception to this is Scotland, which saw its yield fall by 0.5% points.

The industrial sector behaved in a similar manner to that of the office sector with only Scotland seeing any change in its yield. All regions over the year experienced yield rises of between 0.2% points and 0.6% points

There was considerably more movement in the yields of the retail regions over the half year. All regions, with the exception of Scotland, saw yield rises of between 0.5% and 0.7% points. Scotland went against the trend, recording a 0.1% point fall.

Rent Index
                         6-monthly Change    Annual
                                    Change
Base (May 1984=100)

          May94     Nov94     May95 May 94-   Nov 94-
May 94-
                         Nov94      May 95   May 95
Shops     250  252  251  0.7  -0.4  0.3
Offices   203  204  204  0.6  -0.1  0.5
Industrial     198  198  199  0.0   0.8 0.8
All Property   220  222  221  0.6   -0.1     0.5


Rent Index                     6 monthly     Annual
                               Change Change
               May94     Nov94     May95     May 94-
Nov 94-        May 94-
                              Nov 94    May 95    May 95

All Shops      250  252  251  0.7  -0.4 0.3
Central London 226  227  234  0.6  2.9  3.5
Inner Sub London    234  234  239  0.0  2.2  2.2
Outer Sub London    250  256  253  2.2  -1.0 1.2
Suburban London     250  254  254  1.6  -0.1 1.5
London         245  248  250  1.3  1.0  2.3
South East     244  247  244  1.0  -1.1 -0.1
Midlands       272  273  274  0.5  0.3  0.8
North          209  208  199  -0.5 -4.1 -4.6
Scotland       265  271  281  2.2  3.9  6.2

All Offices    203  204  204  0.6  -0.1 0.5
West End       136  136  139  0.0  2.1  2.1
Fringe City    132  142  147  7.9  3.2  11.4
Central London 137  147  151  7.2  3.1  10.5
Suburban London     163  162  162  -0.4 -0.3 -0.7
London         150  157  161  4.9  2.1  7.1
South East     216  215  215  -0.3 0.0  -0.3
Midlands       269  268  268  -0.3 0.0  -0.3
North          174  174  174  0.0  0.0  0.0
Scotland       280  280  265  0.0  -5.3 -5.3

All Industrial 198  198  199  0.0  0.8  0.8
London         164  164  166  0.0  0.9  0.9
South East     204  200  203  -1.9 1.5  -0.4
Midlands       186  188  192  0.9  2.0  2.9
North          171  171  173  0.0  1.5  1.5
Scotland       265  269  260  1.7  -3.4 -1.8

Secondary Yields              Yield Movement

               May94     Nov94     May95     Nov 94-
May 94-
                              May 95    May 95
Shops          8.0  8.4  9.0  0.6  1.0
Offices        9.1  9.5  9.5  0.0  0.4
Industrial     10.1 10.5 10.5 0.0  0.4
All Property   9.4  9.8  10.1 0.3  0.7


Secondary Yields              Yield Movement
               May94     Nov94     May95     Nov 94-
May 94-
                              May 95    May 95
All Shops      8.0  8.4  9.0  0.5  1.0
Central London 7.9  8.2  8.7  0.5  0.8
Inner Sub London    8.8  9.1  9.8  0.7  1.0
Outer Sub London    8.0  8.3  9.0  0.7  1.0
Suburban London     8.2  8.5  9.2  0.7  1.0
London         8.2  8.5  9.2  0.7  1.0
South East     7.2  7.6  8.2  0.6  1.0
Midlands       7.3  7.7  8.2  0.5  0.9
North          8.5  8.9  9.4  0.5  0.9
Scotland       8.4  8.6  8.5  -0.1 0.1

All Offices    9.1  9.5  9.5  0.0  0.4
West End       8.8  9.3  9.5  0.2  0.7
Fringe City    8.4  8.9  8.9  0.0  0.5
Central London 8.6  9.1  9.2  0.1  0.6
Suburban London     9.6  10.1 10.1 0.0  0.5
London         9.2  9.7  9.7  0.0  0.5
South East     8.7  9.1  9.1  0.0  0.4
Midlands       9.6  10.1 10.1 0.0  0.5
North          10.7 11.1 11.1 0.0  0.4
Scotland       10.5 10.0 10.0 0.0  -0.5
All Industrial 10.1 10.5 10.5 0.0  0.4
London         9.7  10.1 10.1 0.0  0.4
South East     9.4  10.0 10.0 0.0  0.6
Midlands       9.7  10.3 10.3 0.0  0.6
North          10.3 10.8 10.8 0.0  0.5
Scotland       10.1 9.9  10.3 0.4  0.2

For further information please call Alan Patterson on 0171 629 7666, extension 2376 or write to him at Hillier Parker, 77 Grosvenor Street, London, W1A 2BT.
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