HEADLINES FROM APRIL 14 TO APRIL 30, 2025
Opening observations:
The second two weeks of April 2025 (and May 1, 2025, to include the reconstruction agreement between Ukraine and the US) provided some weighty news items with consistent themes continuing to arise.
- Spain and Portugal – all falls down: On
Monday, April 28, 2025, at 12.33 CEST there were
widespread power outages across Spain and Portugal, and Southern
France for up to 10 hours, longer in some areas.
At the centre of the power outages was Red Eléctrica España or REE (the transmission system operator in Spain). Neither REE nor the Spanish Government have been able to confirm the cause of the power outages. What is clear from the data is that at 12.33 CEST there was a sudden drop in electricity transmission across the grid, by some estimates in the region of 15 GW.
In the time leading up to the sudden reduction, France stopped importing electrical energy from Spain, there was a spike in wind generation, and as the circumstances unfolded, nuclear power plants received an overload alert, with the result that electrical energy ceased to be sent out from them. Add to this the fact that photovoltaic solar dispatch reduced by 10 GW from 18 GW to 8 GW, and you have whole of grid instability.
From all that I have read there was sufficient available generation capacity, and yet the dispatch of it was not managed given the supply-side events that took place within a very short period of time. What is clear is that when different sources of electrical energy cross a grid, grid management is complex, and maintaining integrity and stability increasingly complex. - Critical metals and minerals (CMM): The
coverage around critical metals and minerals continues.
- On May 1, 2025, Ukraine and the US signed an
agreement under which a reconstruction fund
will be established, to be managed by Ukraine and the US
jointly.
The reconstruction fund will comprise funding from various sources, with Ukraine itself, to be a key source, with 50% of the profits received by the Government of Ukraine from new energy and resource developments (after the developments have been in operation for 10 years) to be paid into the fund. New energy and resource developments the subject of the agreement include CMM and Rare Earth Elements (REEs) (with 55 materials specified) projects, and natural gas and oil projects.
The reconstruction fund will comprise funding from various sources, with Ukraine itself, to be a key source, with 50% of the profits received by the Government of Ukraine from new energy and resource developments (after the developments have been in operation for 10 years) to be paid into the fund. New energy and resource developments the subject of the agreement include CMM and Rare Earth Elements (REEs) (with 55 materials specified) projects, and natural gas and oil projects.
- On May 1, 2025, Ukraine and the US signed an
agreement under which a reconstruction fund
will be established, to be managed by Ukraine and the US
jointly.
- On April 24, 2025, the US
announced an order titled the Unleashing America's Offshore Critical
Minerals and Resources (at https://whitehouse.gov). Among other things,
the order stipulates that within 60 days:
- the Secretary of Commerce is to provide a report on the feasibility of an international benefitsharing mechanism for seabed mineral resource extraction and development in areas beyond the national jurisdiction of any country; and
- the Secretary of Defence and the Secretary of Energy are to provide a report to address the feasibility and any potential benefits or drawbacks of using the National Defence Stockpile for storage of materials derived from seabed polymetallic nodules and of entering offtake agreements for these materials.
The order is well worth a read, signalling, as it does, a real intent to source CMM and REEs from seabed mining. The order has received considerable coverage across news outlets.
- On April 18, 2025, the US announced the
First Wave of Critical Mineral Production Projects
(at https://www.whitehouse.gov, under Trump Administration Advances First Wave of
Critical Mineral Production Projects) in response to the Immediate Measures to Increase American Mineral
Production executive order
The initial selected projects listed are: Resolution Cooper Project, Stibnite Gold Project, Warrior Met Coal Mines, McDermitt Exploration Project, South West Arkansas Project, Caldwell Canyon Mine Project, Libby Exploration Project, Lisbon Valley Copper Project, Silver Peak Lithium Mine, and Michigan Potash. - During April 2025, two excellent publications
dropped as follows:
- the Critical Minerals Institute (CMI) published its CMI Critical Minerals List 2025. The publication is well-worth a read, describing 23 Critical Minerals (CMMs)1 that are essential to progress in sectors key to defence and environmental security, and the geographical source of them (including the US, Canada and Australia). Of the 23 CMMs, five are distinguished as Key Strategic Minerals: 1. Cobalt; 2. Copper; 3. Gallium; 4. REEs; and 5. Uranium; and
- the US Geological Survey, the
Geological Survey of Canada, and
Geoscience Australia, published the Critical Minerals in Ores – geochemistry
database (CMiO) as part of a Critical
Minerals Mapping Initiative (CMMI).
As described, "Critical minerals are commodities essential to modern industrial and strategic technologies and are highly vulnerable to supply chain disruption".
- Also, during April 2025, the good folk at:
- The Indian Defence Review (at
indiandefencereview.com, under A Rare Mineral Deposit Estimated in Billions of
Euros Discovered in Rural France Whose Exact Location Is Kept
Secret by the French Government) reported that REEs had been
discovered in the vicinity of the village of Saint-
Agnès.
As reported, REEs are "indispensable to modern technologies, playing a key role in the manufacture of smartphones, electric vehicles, wind turbines, and advanced military systems"; - Western Digital published Advanced Recycling and Rare Earth Recovery at Scale. The publication is punchy (at 10 pages) and packs a punch.
- International Institute for Sustainable Development published International Trade Investment Agreements and Sustainable Critical Minerals Supply. The publication is worth a read.
- The Indian Defence Review (at
indiandefencereview.com, under A Rare Mineral Deposit Estimated in Billions of
Euros Discovered in Rural France Whose Exact Location Is Kept
Secret by the French Government) reported that REEs had been
discovered in the vicinity of the village of Saint-
Agnès.
- China restrictions on some REE exports impact supply
chains: Edition 29 of P2N0 (under
Export controls on Heavy and Medium Rare Earth
Elements on page 10) reported that the Ministry of
Commerce and General Administration of Customs in China
announced a Decision on Implementing Export Controls for
Certain Medium and Heavy Rare Earth Elements. The export
control relates to REEs, Dysprosium, Gadolinium, Lutetium,
Samarium, Scandium, Terbium, and
Yttrium.
This continues a theme of CMM and REE security. During the balance of April 2025, the impact of the restrictions was reported widely on the adverse impacts on supply chains, including in the US. While it is too early to reach a clear-sighted perspective, it is clear that the restrictions on REEs exports are forcing countries to look for alternative sources of, and, in the medium to longer term, to develop their own REE resources. - Natural Gas and LNG momentum continues:
- On April 30, 2025, it was reported widely that
Woodside Energy Limited had made a positive final
investment decision to develop its USD 17.5 billion
Louisiana LNG project.
On April 23, 2025, it was reported widely that the Dutch Government had committed to acquire increased quantities of natural gas from North Sea producers to lessen the dependence of the Netherlands on the import of natural gas and LNG from outside the EU. It is understood that the Dutch Government wants to reduce dependence on imports of natural gas from Russia, and LNG from the Middle East and the US. As reported, the Dutch Government is committed to the continued supply of natural gas until 2045. - On April 22, 2025, the USD 4.5 billion Barossa natural gas project offshore of the North of Australia received approvals to allow the development of the project.
- On April 16, 2025, legislators in the US
State of Maryland voted in favour of an omnibus
legislative package (The Renewable Energy Certainty Act(HB 1036/SB
931)) that allows the development of natural gas projects and
renewable electrical energy projects. In many ways, this captures
the moment – the pragmatism of the need for natural gas
electrical generation capacity, and the principle of continued
development of renewable electrical energy.
There is more to the legislation than is stated in the headlines, and for those interested in competing perspectives the legislation, and the commentaries on it, make for interesting reading. The legislation is now on the desk of the Governor of the State of Maryland for signature. - On April 14, 2025, Eni and YPF signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to provide a framework for Eni to assess participation in two floating LNG projects (each capable of producing 6 mtpa annually)2.
News headlines:
- During April 2025 the good folk at:
- The International Energy Agency (IEA) published Carbon-Free Electricity in G-20 Countries. What is written on the tin is in the tin: the publication considers the extent to which each G-20 country is progressing to decarbonise generation of electrical energy. The publication is a great resource, providing data and information as to policy settings and the progress to the achievement of them.
- The Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) published its Global Wind Report 2025. The publication highlights that during 2024, 117 GW of wind capacity was installed globally. The publication highlights common and key themes arising around the world. As with the publications from IRENA covered below, the publication recognises that the development and deployment of wind capacity was not progressing at a rate commensurate with the need to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030.
- The Federal Ministry of Finance of Austria and the International Organising Committee for the World Mining Congress published World Mining Data 2025. As the full form title states, the publication covers Iron and ferroalloy metals, non-ferrous metals, precious metals, industrial minerals and mineral fuels. The publication is outstanding: it is data rich with seams of information, and nuggets within each.
- The World Energy Council (WEC) published World Energy Trilemma 2024, Evolving with Resilience and Justice, assessing the three elements of the trilemma (as defined by it): energy security, energy equity, and environmental sustainability. The executive summary (pages 6 to 11) is well worth a read. Follow this link to access the previous 14 WEC World Energy Trilemma publications.
- BloombergNEF published its 2025 New Energy Outlook (NEO)
– one of the must-reads each year. NEO 2025
outlines the following two key findings:
1. Continuing demand decline for coal and oil, although the rate of decline is not clear; and
2. GHG emissions globally may have peaked in 2024, GHG may plateau or may commence decline during 2025. - The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) published The Powerful Role in Geopolitics is to Manage the Energy Transition. The publication is authored by Francesco La Camera, and provides a clear-sighted and nuanced perspective, including in respect of energy security and the supply of materials. For these purposes, the publication ties back to Geopolitics of the Energy Transition: Energy Security and Geopolitics of the Energy Transition: Critical Materials. The three publications are well worth reading in one sitting
- The IRENA published Renewables in 2024: 5 Key Facts Behind a
Record-Breaking Year. The five key facts being:
1. Record-high renewable energy capacity additions in 2024 – with 585 GW of new capacity installed during 2024;
2. Renewable electrical energy installations accounted for more than 92% of total power expansion in 2024;
3. Solar power takes the lead, with 42% of the global electrical energy mix now solar;
4. Asia dominates the newly installed renewable electrical energy capacity; and
5. The rate of installation of new renewable electrical energy capacity is still less than the rate required to triple renewable electrical energy capacity by 2030, which was recognised at COP-28 and is covered in Edition 6 of P2N0.
- Largest LCO2 carrier launched: On April 16, 2025, it was reported widely that the world's largest liquid carbon dioxide (LCO2) carrier had been launched. As reported, the LCO2 carrier has the capacity to carry 22,000 m3 of LCO2. The LCO2 carrier is the first of four LCO2 carriers (with a total cost of USD 756 million) ordered by the Greek shipping company, Capital Clean Energy Carriers, from South Korean shipbuilder, Hyundai Mipo.
- Mission 300 tested: On April 24,
2025, the good folk at devex (at www.devex-com.cdn.ampproject.org, under
One year in, Mission 300 tests what it takes to power
Africa) reported that global finance leaders from the
World Bank and the International Monetary Fund
were meeting to discuss progress of Mission 300; Mission
300 is the plan to bring electrical energy to 300
million people in Africa by 2030
As reported, the World Bank is to provide up to USD 30 billion and the African Development Bank is to provide up to USD 18.2 billion. - Kenya 2026: On April 14,
2025, the International Energy Agency
(IEA) published Kenya
2024 – Energy Policy Review. The Government of
Kenya and the IEA jointly developed the
publication.
As might be expected, the publication is divided into sections as follows: Electricity (section 2), Renewable Energy (section 3), Access to electricity (section 4), Access to clean cooking (section 5), Energy security (section 6), Energy efficiency (section 7), Energy and climate (section 8), and Energy investment (section 9).
Except for access to clean cooking in developing economies, the purpose of recounting the sections is that their subject matter is the same whichever country one assesses, with developed or developing economies, with the circumstances of each country informing the assessment.
Kenya (a country with a population of approximately 57 million of which approximately 30% is urbanised) has 3.3 GW of installed electrical energy capacity, of which 950 GW is geothermal (750 MW of which has been installed in the last 10 years or so), 800 MW is hydroelectric, and 800 MW is photovoltaic solar and wind. With the installation of renewable energy, Kenya leads the East African region with over 80% of the population having access to electricity, up from 37% in 2013, and targeting 100% by 2030.
The balance of the energy mix of installed capacity comprises diesel and bioenergy. Bioenergy offers opportunities to develop capacity to use industrial waste to produce bioethanol to promote clean cooking, and animal and municipal waste (having a high organic fraction) offers opportunities to produce biogas, and, once processed, biomethane, using anaerobic digester technologies.
The electrical energy transmission grid of Kenya is connected to Ethiopia, Tanzania, and Uganda via interconnectors. Over time, this may offer opportunities for optimisation across an interconnected grid.
By way of background: The publication reminds us of that which we know: "Government action is pivotal in building secure, inclusive and sustainable energy systems. Energy policy is critical not just for the energy sector but also for meeting environmental, economic and social goals". It helps to be reminded of this essential truth. - Decentralised renewable energy for agriculture in
Zimbabwe: On April 22, 2025, the
IRENA published Decentralised renewable energy for agriculture in
Zimbabwe.
While the publication has been prepared with Zimbabwe as its subject, the publication assesses challenges that are common to many countries, in particular countries with developing economies, including electrical energy for irrigation pumps, cold storage and drying, and processing facilities. Decentralised renewable energy (DRE) generation will address these challenges, and, in so doing, provide a basis to close the energy gap.
The publication outlines the form that DRE generation may take. As might be expected, photovoltaic solar, accompanied by BESS, is regarded as the most appropriate technology. The price tag for the build out of these technologies is estimated at around USD 7 billion. The publication outlines sources of funding. For those active in DRE generation development, the publication is well worth a read.
The publication should be read with IRENA publication Decentralised renewable energy for agriculture in Malawi.
- Oman to auction land for further hydrogen production: On April 30, 2025, it was reported widely that the Sultanate of Oman is to auction up to 300 km2 of land in the vicinity of Duqm. This is the third land auction that has been undertaken.
- India to penalise non-achievement of targets: On April 29, 2025, the times of india (at www.timesofindia.indiatimes.com, under Carbon-heavy sectors handed green targets, liable to fines) reported that is to impose GHG emission intensity (GEI) reduction targets on 282 entities across India. If a corporation or other organisation with a GHG emission reduction target does not achieve it, it will be penalised. This places a price on carbon. It is understood that the regime will come under the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme, 2023
- REC Power Development and Consultancy
(RECPDCL)commences tender: During
April 2025, the good folk at Mercom
India (at https://www.mercomedia.com, under RECPDCL Invites Bids to Evacuate 3.7 GW Power from
Pumped Storage Projects) reported that RECPDCL
had invited bids "to develop an interstate transmission
system" to transmit electrical energy from Pumped
Storage Projects (PSPs) in Sonbhadra district, Uttar
Pradesh, under a build, own, operate and transfer
(BOOT) model.
As reported, bids for the BOOT must be received by June 27, 2025. - Energy Transition in Georgia: On April
16, 2025, IRENA published its Energy Transition Assessment: Georgia. The
publication provides a helpful appraisal of the energy transition
potential of Georgia, it is both thorough and
timely. Georgia has considerable bioenergy and
hydroelectric capacity, and even greater geothermal, photovoltaic
solar and wind capacity development potential.
The publication concludes that the existing and potential resources offer Georgia a clear pathway to energy transition.
IRENA developed the publication jointly with the Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development (MoESD) and will be used "to inform the development of Georgia's forthcoming revised Nationally Determined Contribution to the Paris Agreement (NDC 3.0)". - Saudi Vision 2030 Annual Report for 2024 highlights the mining sector: During the final week of April 2025, the Vice-Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources for Mining Affairs, for Saudi Arabia, Khalid Almudaifer, reminded us that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is progressing to develop its metal and mineral resources. The publication Mining and the Mineral Sector – A Major Transformation Journey Under Saudi Vision 2030 provides a helpful summary.
- EPA and TRC sign MOA: On April 29,
2025, it was reported widely that the US
Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) and the Texas Railroad
Commission signed a memorandum of agreement
(MOA) outlining the plans for the State of Texas
to administer programs relating to carbon storage wells, aka, Class
VI wells, to provide the State of Texas with primacy.
By way of reminder: Edition 27 of P2N0 reported that: "Four US States, Louisiana, North Dakota, West Virginia and Wyoming, have Class VI primacy, with a further nine US States, including Arizona and Texas, having applications pending for primacy. New Mexico (between Arizona and Texas) has recently engrossed House Bill 457 (the Geologic Carbon Dioxide Sequestration Act) to promote progress towards primacy for Class VI wells, with the State House of Representatives having passed the Bill on March 11, 2025". - Bahia and GoVerde Energia sign letter of intent: On April 28, 2025, it was reported that the State of Bahia and GoVerde Energia had signed a letter of intent to provide a basis for discussion about the development of an industrial park to produce ammonia and methanol, with the electrolysers to produce the green hydrogen to be powered by 1.5 GW of photovoltaic solar capacity.
- Guatemala opens 1.4 GW auction: On April 25, 2025, the good folk at pv magazine (at https://www.pvmagazine.com, under Guatemala opens 1.4 GW energy auction) reported that the Ministry of Energy and Mines and National Electric Energy Commission (CNEE) had commenced the process under which it would award 15-year contracts for a total of up to 1.4 GW of "guaranteed capacity and associated energy", with supply to commence in 2030. As reported, the cost of the development of the electrical energy generation capacity and the transmission infrastructure will be in the USD 3 to 5 billion range.
- ExxonMobil and Calpine sign CO2 T&S deal: On April 25, 2025, it was reported widely that ExxonMobil had signed an agreement with Calpine Corporation for the transportation and storage of up to 2 million metric tonnes of CO2 a year. This is one of a number of agreements that ExxonMobil has signed (after CCS offtake agreements with NG3, CF Industries, and Nucor), bringing its total contracted carbon storage volume to around 16 million metric tons per year.
- World scale deposit of lithium unearthed in Arkansas: On April 24, 2025, the good folk at the farmingdale observer (at www.framingdale.observer.com, under A Massive Lithium Deposit Discovered in An Unexpected Location Is Shaking Up The Global Resource Landscape) reported that the Smackover Formation in Arkansas has between 5 and 19 metric milliontonnes of lithium resource. In the context of US CMM supply security, the development of the resource would reduce, and possibly remove, the need to source supplies of lithium from Argentina, Bolivia and Chile.
- Photovoltaic solar continues to shine and wind continues to blow: During April 2025, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) reported that a little less than 98% of new electrical energy generating capacity across the US, with around 75% of that new capacity comprising photovoltaic solar.
- Microsoft continues to inform the hard voluntary carbon
credit market: On April 16, 2025, it was
reported widely that Microsoft had contracted with
the AtmosClear project in respect of the removal
of GHG emissions arising from the AtmosClear BECCS
project that is under development at the Port of Greater
Baton Rouge, in the US State of Louisiana. The
AtmosClear BECCS project produces electrical
energy from the combustion of biomass (a renewable fuel source). As
reported, the biomass to be combusted will include the residual
organic matter from the production of sugar and forestry
activity.
By way of background: Microsoft is seeking to be carbon negative by 2030: i.e., on a net-basis Microsoft wants to be able to offset its GHG emissions with "carbon credits" so that its actual GHG emissions less its carbon credits will equal a negative number.
"By 2030 Microsoft will be carbon negative, and by 2030 Microsoft will remove from the environment all the carbon the company has emitted either directly or indirectly or by electrical consumption since it was founded in 1975".
This is a moving target for Microsoft and will continue to be so as Generative AI continues to increase the use of electrical energy -
- China approves construction of 10 new reactors: On April 28, 2025, world nuclear news (at https://www.world-nuclear-news.org, under Ten new reactors approved in China) reported that the State Council of China had approved the development of "five new nuclear power projects – Fanchenggang Phase III, Haiyang Phase III, Sanmen Phase III, Taishan Phase II and Xiapu Phase I – with a total of 10 reactors, including eight Hualong One units".
- China to strengthen commitment to GHG emission reductions: In April 2025, President Xi Jinping announced that ahead of COP-30 in Brazil later in 2025, China would commit to new targets (to be achieved by the end of 2035) across "the entire scope of the economy, including all greenhouse gases". In other words, China is going to commit to targets for the avoidance, reduction and removal of all GHG emission, not CO2 alone.
- No gas, just wind: At 5.45 pm on April 19, 2025, the State of South Australia (poster child for renewable electrical energy and BESS) broke the record wind generation in the State, with wind 2,147 MW of dispatched wind. This record marks the continued progress of South Australia to achieve a secure 100% renewable energy grid by 2027 (leading Australia and the world).
- Pumped storage development inches closer: On April 18, 2025, it was reported widely that the Government of the State of Queensland, Australia, had included in its five-year energy plan further funding to allow further assessment of the development of the proposed 2 GW Mount Rawden Pumped Storage project.
- First auction for offshore wind capacity: On April 17, 2025, it was reported widely that Government of the State of Victoria, Australia, will undertake an auction in September 2025 (having commenced a Registration of Interest process, to close during May 2025, to be followed by a Request for Proposal Process to close during September 2025) for the purposes of awarding contracts-for-difference by October 2026 for the supply of renewable electrical energy. The State of Victoria has set itself renewable energy deployment targets as follows: 2 GW by 2032, 4 GW by 2035, and 9 GW by 2040.
- And another first for China: On April 17,
2025, the South China Morning Post (at www.scmp.com, under
China has world's first operational thorium
reactor thanks to 'strategic stamina') reported that
fuel was loaded to a thorium molten salt reactor while it was in
operation. As reported, the reactor, located in the Gobi Desert, in
the west of China, uses molten salt as a vector of fuel and
coolant, and thorium.
By way of reminder: Thorium is a radioactive element that produces, what has been described as, "minimal radioactive waste". While this a small-scale reactor, it provides a basis for further assessment of the use of thorium, rather than uranium.
By way of background: The technology to use thorium as a fuel and a coolant in molten salt reactors (MSR) is not new.
"Thorium is a naturally occurring, slightly radioactive
metal discovered in 1828 by the Swedish chemists Jons Jakob
Berzelius, who named it after Thor, the Norse god of thunder. It is
found in small amounts in most rocks and soils, where it is about
three times more abundant than uranium ...
Thorium (Th-232) is not itself fissile and ... is not usable
directly in a thermal neutron reactor. However, it is
'fertile' and upon absorbing a neutron will transmute to
uranium ... which is an excellent fissile fuel material ...
There are seven types of reactor into which thorium can be
introduced as a nuclear fuel. The first five [Heavy Water Reactors
(PHWRs), High-Temperature Gas Cooled Reactors (HTRs), Boiling
(Light) Water Reactors (BWRs), Pressurised (Light) Water Reactors
(PWRs) and Fast Neutron Reactors (FNRs)] of these have all entered
into operational service at some point. The last two [MSRs] and
Accelerator Driven Reactors (ADs) are both conceptual".
Source: world-nuclear.org.
- Another first for China: On April 15, 2025, hydrogeninsight (at www.hydrogeninsight.com, under World's first offshore platform to produce green hy drogen, ammonia and methanol completed in China) reported that a pilot project, located off of Shandong province, has three electrolysers located on an offshore platform powered by an array of floating photovoltaic solar panels and fixed solar panels on the platform itself, with no power from onshore. Water (sourced from the ocean) will be electrolysed to produce green hydrogen.
- China Uranium Find: On April 15, 2025, ecoticias (at www.ecoticias.com, under 30 million tons under this desert – China doesn't need America anymore) reported that China had discovered a large uranium deposit in Jingchuan, the Ordos Basin, in the North of China. From the reporting, further work is required to firm up the quality and size of the reserves (and as such the cost of mining and production). The article from the good folk at ecoticias is well worth a read.
- Vietnam approves Amended PDP8: On
April 15, 2025, Vietnam published amended PDP8
– the Revised National Power Development Plan for
2021-2030, with a forward-looking perspective to 2050
(PDP8). In the context of P2N0,
the key takeaway is that GHG emissions from electrical energy
generation are to be capped at 197 – 199 million metric
tonnes of CO2 by 2030, representing a reduction of 27 million
metric tonnes from current "business as usual", and 170
million metric tonnes of CO2 by 2030 if JETP is utilized in
full.
In the context of PDP8, it would seem that the aim is to phase out use of coal by 2050: by 2050, the power mix will comprise approximately 74 to 76% of renewable energy. Under the forward-looking perspective is Total Capacity of 490,529 MV to 573,129 MW, comprising:
- photovoltaic solar of 168,594 MW to 89,294 MW (33% to 34.4%);
- offshore wind 70,000 MW 91,500 MW (14.3% to 16%); and
- offshore wind 60,050 MW to 77,050 MW (12.2% - 13.4%),
With the balance comprising, among others, storage power sources, thermal power using biomass and ammonia, hydro, biomass, waste to energy, geothermal or new energy, LNG and hydrogen.
By way of background: A number of countries, with developing economies, have signed Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) agreements3 with countries and blocs, with developed economies. At COP-28 in 2023, Vietnam presented a 200-page implementation plan for the purposes of the Vietnam JETP. Among other things, under the Vietnam JETP, USD 7.75 billion in funding was pledged for energy transition projects.
For further reading about the offshore wind potential for Vietnam, read Wind Energy Technical Potential Over Offshore Areas in Vietnam published by the Vietnam Meteorological and Hydrological Administration (WNMHA), the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the Embassy of Norway in Vietnam. - Australia's "Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve" likely to progress. Edition 29 of P2N0 reported that: "On April 4, 2025, the Prime Minister of Australia announced plans to restrict the export of some commodities from Australia to make Australia more resilient against global trade measures, and to assure Australia of a secure supply of CMM. Given the re-election of the Australian Labor Party (ALP), it is likely that this Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve will become a policy setting of the new ALP government.
-
- The Netherlands progress Green Growth Package: On April 28, 2025, it was reported widely that the Council of Ministers had approved around €2.8 billion in funding support to develop supply and demand side for green hydrogen within the Netherlands. As understood, around €2.1 billion of funding support will be provided in respect of the development of green hydrogen production capacity (supply side) and €662 million of funding support will be provided in respect of demand-side initiatives. With the carrot of funding support, comes a stick requiring the use of 4% of renewable energy by 2030.
- Spain has permitted 65.8 GW of photovoltaic solar projects: On April 25, 2025, the good folk at pv magazine (at https://www.pv-magazine.com, under Spain hits 65.8 GW of solar projects with grid permits in March) reported that Spain has 129.5 GW of renewable electrical energy projects permitted to connect to the transmission grid, with 65.8 GW of photovoltaic projects permitted.
- Eni FID for CCS in Liverpool Bay: On April 24,
2025, it was reported widely that Eni had
taken a positive final investment decision, and achieved financial
close (in respect of £2 billion of funding)
with the UK Government (Department for Energy Security and
Net Zero), to develop the Eni carbon injection and storage
project in Liverpool Bay, in the Irish Sea, as part of the HyNet
decarbonisation initiative in the North-West of England.
The positive final investment decision was taken as Eni was granted a carbon storage permit from the North Sea Transition Authority. This is the second carbon injection and storage project to take a positive final investment decision in the UK, the first being the Northern Endurance project in late 2024.
By way of reminder: The Liverpool Bay project will have the capacity to inject and to store up to 4.5 million metric tonnes of CO2 a year, progressing to up to 10 million metric tonnes. - HySpeed plans: On April 14, 2025, it was reported widely that a consortium (comprising Centrica, Heidelberg, ITM Power, JCB, Johnson Matthey, and National Gas), called HySpeed, is engaging with the UK Government about plans to develop 1 GW of green hydrogen production capacity (across 16 GH2 production facilities, ranging from 50 MW to 300MW) so as to achieve the benefit of economies of scale, and achieve a production cost of USD 7.80 per kilogram.
HELPFUL PUBLICATIONS AND DATA BASES
In addition to publications covered by this edition of P2N0, the most noteworthy publications read by the author during the second two weeks (and a bit) of April 2025 are:
- Guide to CDR policy settings: The good folk at Carbonfuture have published The 2025 Guide to Carbon Removal Policy – For Buyers and Sellers. This is the third edition of the Guide. While the author has not yet read the publication, based on the previous two editions, it is assumed that the publication will be a helpful publication.
Footnotes
1 The CMMs listed are: 1. Bauxite, High Purity Alumina, and Aluminum; 2. Antimony; 3. Beryllium; 4. Bismuth; 5. Cobalt; 6. Copper; 7. Gallium; 8. Germanium; 9. Graphite; 10. Indium; 11. Lithium; 12. Magnesium; 13. Manganese; 14. Nickel; 15. Niobium; 16. Platinum metals; 17. Rare Earths Elements (REEs); 18. Silicon and Silicon metals; 19. Tantalum; 20. Titanium and Titanium metal; 21. Tungsten; 22. Uranium; and, 23. Vanadium.
2 Eni has experience in developing FLNG projects, with Coral Su l (offshore Mozambique) and Tango (offshore Congo). By way of reminder: Edition 29 of P2N0 under (Coral Norte project approved) reported that: "On April 8 and 9, 2025, it was reported widely that the Government of Mozambique had approved the Eni USD 7.2 billion Coral Norte floating liquified natural gas (FLNG) project. This continues the approval of LNG projects (land based and floating) expected during 2025".
3 In addition to Vietnam, countries, with developing economies that have signed JETPs are Indonesia, Senegal and South Africa.
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