All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate Bola Tinubu was declared president-elect on 01 March this year. The constitutional date for a handover, 29 May, will be upheld even if the election tribunal has not yet ruled on petitions brought by the opposition parties. Although both the incumbent president, Muhammad Buhari and Tinubu hail from the APC, power will shift from the Arewa faction, associated with the north of the country, to Tinubu and the south west. Wholesale personnel changes in the civil service are unlikely, but the future of top bureaucrats will still depend on the outcome of political competition with their civil service peers.

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