We've pulled together our top five predictions for this year
based on the insights of our local experts.
#1: Jochum Haakma, Global Executive Director
Business Development: As China transforms from the world's factory
into a more knowledge-based and service oriented economy, with a
fast developing and more critical consumer base, FDI into China
will remain hugely important. On the flip-side, by 2020 China will
have invested an extra US$2trillion abroad - at least US$500
billion of this will have landed in Europe.
#2: Jochum Haakma: Indonesia's appetite for
"inbound" FDI is increasing, particularly as it is one of
Asia's growth leaders. But the complexity of its rules and
regulations will be a consideration of investors and those looking
for mergers and acquisitions. Compliance requirements will be
significant and key to the success of FDI.
#3: Alex Medlock, Managing Director Russia: The
first ever domestic securitisation of consumer loans in Russia will allow domestic securitisation of
non-mortgage-related assets – including SME loans, trade
receivables, lease payments etc. Home Credit Bank's structure
has huge potential since it allows the creation of a long-term
funding programme for a variety of bank assets that can attract
Russian and international investors.
#4: Segundino La-Fuente, Managing Director
Brazil: Brazil is keen to live up to its emerging
economy status by making processes much easier for businesses,
which is good news for those firms looking to take advantage of the
World Cup next year and the 2016 Olympics. The government will
certainly be looking at decreasing the time it takes to open a
simple entity in Brazil - in Sao Paulo it currently takes 90 days.
Its complex tax system is also under fire after recent legislation
added to the bureaucratic burden, so this could be up for review
#5: Roberto Scrimieri, Managing Director
Argentina: In our global complexity reportArgentina ranked as the country with the most
complicated regulatory regime. However, with government elections
taking place later this year policy change is in the air. This
could be a turning point for the country, which is looking for ways
to attract international investors and companies - particularly
given the recent success of Mexico in attracting investment due to
the relative ease of doing business there.
Originally published January 8, 2014
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