Looking ahead to 2016, Intralinks recently published its Deal Flow Predictor report (the
Report) for Q1 2016, which tracks global,
early-stage M&A activity in order to predict M&A deal
volume in the coming quarter.
Based on early-stage deal activity moving into 2016, the Report
forecasts modest, positive momentum for M&A activity in Q1
2016, but such activity is unlikely to match the record increases
in dealmaking seen in 2015. With respect to worldwide M&A
activity, the Report predicts that the total number of announced
deals in Q1 2016 will be between 6% to 8% higher than in Q1 2015.
Driving factors for M&A activity largely remain the same as
before and include the low cost of credit and a persistent low
inflation, low growth environment, pushing corporations to achieve
growth through inorganic means.
While the global climate for M&A is generally positive,
M&A activity may be hampered by economic headwinds in some
regions. In North America, for example, where early stage deal
activity was down by 3% in Q4 2015 compared to the previous
quarter, there is a sense of economic uncertainty due to mixed
economic indicators and the timing and magnitude of interest rate
The Report also notes that the Asia Pacific region is facing
slowing M&A growth as a result of turmoil in the Chinese equity
markets and the devaluation of the Chinese Yuan, among other
things. This picture in Latin America and Europe, the Middle East,
and Africa is more positive, with early stage deal activity in
Latin America staging a rebound after some softer quarters and
continuing momentum in Europe, with France and the United Kingdom
being particularly noteworthy.
As for global sentiment, the Report's survey of 575 M&A
professionals found mixed perceptions of the current climate for
M&A, with respondents' views varying from region to region.
For example, 55% of respondents in the Europe, Middle East and
Africa region expressed optimism about the current M&A client,
while only 43% of North American respondents shared this view.
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