Yesterday, McLennan Ross issued an analysis of Alberta's new
climate change plan, focusing on the report of the climate change
panel. In our haste to issue the analysis in a timely fashion, we
neglected to discuss one of the signature pieces of the plan,
namely the cap on oil sands emissions. The province will adopt a
cap on emissions of CO2 from the oil sands of 100 Mt. Currently,
CO2 emissions from the oil sands are about 70 Mt and it is
estimated that they would rise to 100 Mt by 2030 if no actions were
taken. The cap on emissions, as opposed to production, is intended
to given the industry the next 15 years to develop and utilize
technology to lower emissions intensity, thereby never hitting the
cap even with growth in production.
We also stated that the Panel recommended reducing methane
emissions by 40%. In fact, the province adopted an even more
ambitious target of 45%.
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Alberta is going through a difficult economic period. These times can be challenging and while owners struggle to get their business through the rough patch, they want to preserve the assets and capital they have built up.
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