ARTICLE
9 August 2022

Flying Blind Into Earnings? Rolling Forecasts Provide CFOs With Contagious Confidence

AC
Ankura Consulting Group LLC

Contributor

Ankura Consulting Group, LLC is an independent global expert services and advisory firm that delivers end-to-end solutions to help clients at critical inflection points related to conflict, crisis, performance, risk, strategy, and transformation. Ankura consists of more than 1,800 professionals and has served 3,000+ clients across 55 countries. Collaborative lateral thinking, hard-earned experience, and multidisciplinary capabilities drive results and Ankura is unrivalled in its ability to assist clients to Protect, Create, and Recover Value. For more information, please visit, ankura.com.
Who doesn't love Q2 earnings? Enough data on this year's performance to have a feel for trajectory and enough time to course correct….if you have the right instruments to empower action.
United States Finance and Banking

Who doesn't love Q2 earnings? Enough data on this year's performance to have a feel for trajectory and enough time to course correct....if you have the right instruments to empower action. Yes, this means ditching Excel for a cloud-based system that integrates operational drivers and financial performance data to analyze both leading and lagging indicators. This also means the Sales/Deal, Accounting, FP&A, and Investor Relations teams all have access to (and agree upon....) the same data, updated as close to real-time as possible.

That "agree upon" bit relative to forecast data and methodology provokes a philosophical discussion about behavior and incentive. The traditional process of a 12 month forecast updated quarterly is one that promotes validation of targets rather than seeking truth in projections. Alternatively, a rolling forecast, in which the time horizon gets pushed out by the same number of weeks or months as the update, promotes and incentivizes accuracy above all else.

CFOs rehearsing their earnings dialogue in the mirror over the past few weeks are focused on two things: 1) tracing the "why" behind reported numbers and 2) communicating data-driven rationale for any forecast re-direction. Both require an end-to-end workflow of financial information that leadership can trust. And in the quarterly season of investor scrutiny, confidence is contagious.

https://www.cfodive.com/trendline/rolling-forecasts/56/

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