Key Takeaways
1 M&A
- While private equity remains the top-performing asset class,
the COVID-19 pandemic, the war
in Ukraine and rising inflation (driven largely by energy costs) have challenged the industry.
General Partners (GPs) managing their portfolios – and sourcing potential targets – are now
confronted with these challenges along with additional pressure points such as 1) China/US
trade relations; 2) Europe's anaemic GDP growth; 3) Energy transition and 4) Inflation. - Democratisation of private equity – shorter investment
periods, lower investment capital
requirements for investors, easier access. The risk for GPs to be aware of is reputational
damage. - GPs hold on to good assets for longer provided they are acting
in the interests of Limited
Partners (LPs). Lessons can be learnt from the real estate industry, which has built core, core-
plus and opportunistic strategies for investors to consider - Impact of listed equity versus private equity – there has
been a shift in private markets and a
sell-off in public markets. This will likely result in increased secondary market activity - Software sector - perfect sector to combat inflation, backing
companies whose technology
can help clients re-engineer their processes and remain productive in a tight labour market
with rising costs - ESG - raising capital for impact funds requires managers to
have a clear investment
proposition as accusations of greenwashing continue to surface in the industry. There is a lot
offocusonsustainability,yetsomebelievethatthereisadetrimentinfocusingon
sustainability. We believe the opposite. There is no arbitrage between financial impact and
sustainability.
2 FINANCE
- Healthcare predictably continues to be a major counter-cyclical haven for investment.
- The reduction in anticipated multiples (for the time being)
will likely delay some sell-side
opportunities until alignment is reached between buy-side and sell-side of what a fair multiple
is for a particular asset. - With interest rates rising and volatility among currencies,
there is renewed focus on hedging,
and volatility may lead to high pricing. - Funds continue to fundraise in a slightly more challenging
environment but PE and private
credit provide alignment for 'patient capital' to deliver strong returns to investors over the life
of the funds. - Stressed
anddistressedopportunitiesaregrowing,whichmayprovideformarket
consolidation in certain asset classes. - Very strong (and growing) focus on ESG among investors who also
see that ESG investments
(as opposed to investments with an ESG requirement) are capable of driving very strong
returns through the value chain.
3.FUNDS
- Healthcare focused private equity funds are in resurgence, with
this sub-sector of private
equity growing ever more important in a macro environment of an ageing population combined
with the reality that the provision and expansion of state sponsored healthcare models may
be nearing their limit of what is possible without private sector help. Healthcare private equity
will become ever more important over the medium to long term. - Distressed debt and distressed asset funds are perfectly placed
to take advantage of the
changing macroeconomic environment (but still a valuation gap mismatch between buyer and
seller expectations remains). - A clear focus on private equity as an asset class in adding
meaningful and measurable value
to portfolio companies and investing in the right management teams even more so than before
to generate returns. - Growing importance of secondaries and a return to old-style
secondaries i.e. buying and
selling second-hand fund interests and tail-end assets, rather than the GP-led secondaries.
4 FRANCE
The country has access to a deep SME market and the French
government has been supporting
companies in growth technology. The growth equity market is getting
very crowded and is very
much "in demand" so investors need to be mindful of this.
In Venture Capital (VC), France has
enjoyed a record fundraising year YTD in 2022. This has been helped
by the fact that talent is
choosing to remain in France rather than travel overseas. President
Macron has also overseen
an effort to attract talent to France. The message to large
corporations is: "Sign more contracts
with start-ups. It is how you drive change."
5 GERMANY
Germany has everything to make a successful PE market: hidden
champion Mittelstands,
companies led by successful entrepreneurs, sophisticated management
teams, efficient debt
providers and experienced advisors for all functions
6 ITALY
Although family business is still the backbone of the Italian
economy, interest in private equity
and venture capital investments is growing strongly. If there is a
need for capital — as there is —
Italian entrepreneurs seem to look less and less to banks as an
answer, often to private equity.
Not least because there is an evolution taking place in the
latter's operating philosophy. In fact,
private funds are increasingly willing to consider minority stakes
in companies and not just
control. And what is more, buyouts, which were a rare event in the
Italian M&A landscape just a
few years ago, now account for more than a third of PE
transactions.And the same approach
applies to scalable companies. Q2-22 recorded the second best
result in the last five years and
venture capital rounds are showing a noticeable growth in terms of
maturity: Series A and Series
B raised more in the first half of 2022 than in the whole of 2021,
up 17% and 66% respectively,
despite international macroeconomic and financial tensions. Several
elements, including the
increasing interest registered by foreign operators in investment
rounds, suggest that we are
indeed on the right track to witness a decisive growth of the
entire Italian innovation ecosystem.
7 United Kingdom
post-Brexit. In that regard, the UK's private equity market plays an important role in providing
capital to both start-up entrepreneurs and more established SMEs. Inflation, compared to recent
likely to result in an asset bubble bursting, as was seen in the dot.com crash and in the housing
crisis in 2007/8.
The content of this article is intended to provide a general guide to the subject matter. Specialist advice should be sought about your specific circumstances.