Introduction
This has been an historic and history-defying summer for US politics. Hillary Clinton has broken through the proverbial glass ceiling and become the first woman to receive a major party nomination for the highest office in the land. At the same time, she is a candidate who is below water in some polls by over 11% on her favorable/ unfavorable ratings (42%-53%) and believed by a majority of the electorate to be neither honest nor trustworthy. Yet, if the election were held today, she is projected to win enough electoral votes to be elected president even if she lost all of the states presently considered to be toss-ups.
If this campaign has taught us anything, it is that there are no sure things in politics. Donald Trump, the Republican presidential candidate who dispatched 16 other candidates in the Republican primaries with the greatest of ease, is now having a hard time staying above 40% in the general election polls.
We remain open to the possibility that the upcoming debates, new Trump campaign leadership, a foreign policy crisis, and continued scrutiny of Secretary Clinton about her email or the seemingly close relationship between the Clinton Foundation and executive actions could fundamentally alter the political landscape before the election. For now, however, suffice it to say that Mr. Trump has a very steep climb before him if he is to be elected president on November 8.
To help ease your transition from "endless summer" to endless emails post-Labor Day, we offer you this preview of what we expect from the world of public policy and politics this fall. Items to whet your interest, not overwhelm you. A cool ocean splash, not an ice bath, with deeper dives into all of the subjects covered available on request. Welcome to the sprint to November!
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